Clinical Prediction Model Development for Stages of AKI in Critically Ill Patients
karger.comUsing readily available predictors in the ICU setting, we could develop a prediction model for different stages of AKI with good performance and promising clinical usefulness.
Among critically ill patients, acute kidney injury (AKI) has a high incidence and leads to poor prognosis. As AKI is often only detected well after onset, early risk stratification is crucial.
This study aimed to develop and internally validate the first clinical prediction model for different stages of AKI in critically ill adults.
We utilized data from the Simple Intensive Care Studies II (SICS-II), a prospective cohort study at the University Medical Center Groningen, the Netherlands.
The prognostic outcome was the highest KDIGO-based stage of AKI within the first 7 days of ICU stay.
Candidate predictors included fifty-nine readily available variables in critical care.
Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and proportional odds logistic regression were used for variable selection and model estimation, respectively.
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis were applied to evaluate model performance and clinical usefulness.